CDNS
Cadence Design Systems Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 351.35
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 296.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 370.00
Thesis breakA guide-down at the next quarterly print that resets full-year 2026 EPS below $8...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 17% | 100 / 100 | 17.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 34% | 10 / 100 | 3.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 51 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Expanded partnership with TSMC to deliver advanced capabilities for AI and HPC designers
- Raised earnings guidance for year ending December 31 2026 and record $8.1B backlog
- Expected operating margin increase of 100 bps to 44.75%