ZYME
Zymeworks Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 26.47
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 18.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 26.00
Thesis breakA 10-K-confirmed failure of the royalty aggregation strategy, a material adverse...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Completion of Theravance Biopharma acquisition adding YUPELRI profit-sharing rights
- 2026 revenue guidance of $278M-$292M and adjusted EBITDA of $114M-$128M post-acquisition
- YUPELRI profit-share from Viatris collaboration providing immediate accretive cash flow