ZS
Zscaler Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 196.60
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 161.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 215.00
Thesis breakConstant-currency ARR growth decelerates below 15% for two consecutive quarters,...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Multi-year cybersecurity contract win with Aston Martin Aramco F1 Team
- 14 acquisitions completed including Symmetry Systems
- Q4 earnings beat with revenue $898M vs $877M expected and ARR $3.77B