YU
Yu Group PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
1820.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
1533.33p
Trim >=take some off
1900.00p
Thesis breakA reduction in 2026 revenue guidance, loss or non-renewal of a major customer co...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 10% | 10 / 100 | 1.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 72 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Revenue guidance raised to GBP 850-875 million for 2026 (21-25% growth)
- Total contract order book rose 40% to GBP 1.4 billion with further 25% growth expected
- Pretax profit up 8.9% to GBP 49 million and total dividend up 12% to 67p