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YSS

York Space Systems Inc

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 14.73 Technology - Communication EquipmentAWAIT ENTRY
66

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 14.73
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 12.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 20.00
Thesis breakA material downward revision to FY2026 revenue or EBITDA guidance disclosed in a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction66 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • DoD Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture contracts including first Tranche 1 Transport Layer satellites delivered and Dragoon mission executed
  • Demonstrated in-plane/cross-vendor optical communications and only provider with Link 16 from space
  • FY2025 revenue +52% to $386.2M with gross profit +133% and net loss narrowed 15%
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.