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YSS

York Space Systems Inc

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 11.41 Technology - Communication EquipmentAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
49

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 11.41
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 8.50
Trim >=take some off
USD 11.50
Thesis breakA formal material adverse change in the Space Development Agency's procurement p...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case36%10 / 1003.6
Weighted conviction49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • Significant EPS miss in latest quarter (-0.99 vs -0.11 estimate)
  • Revenue beat to 116.34M but next quarter revenue expected lower at 89.42M
  • $642.3M backlog and $187M commercial contract
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.