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WDC

Western Digital Corp

BUY 2026-08-11 Data 12 days old USD 439.09 AWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
75

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 439.09
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 346.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 520.00
Thesis breakAbandonment of the Kioxia merger or strategic transaction without an alternative...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case43%100 / 10043.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case7%10 / 1000.7
Weighted conviction75 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Reopening of merger talks with Kioxia
  • Long contracts recast AI storage growth and valuation
  • Q4 2026 EPS beat to $3.56 vs consensus $3.31 with revenue $3.75B
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.