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DIS

Walt Disney Co

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 96.19 Communication Services - EntertainmentAWAIT ENTRY
65

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 96.19
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 90.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 110.00
Thesis breakA definitive adverse FCC ruling that materially constrains broadcast operations ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction65 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Strong analyst consensus with 18 Strong Buy ratings and average 12-month price target of $127.89 representing 34.84% upside
  • DTC streaming services, IP assets, and Experiences segment positioned for long-term earnings and free cash flow growth
  • Competition from Netflix, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Paramount Global in streaming and content production
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