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DIS

Walt Disney Co

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 108.00 Communication Services - EntertainmentAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 108.00
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 96.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 112.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if Disney reports a material cybersecurity incident ma...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • 10-year contract with Feld Entertainment
  • Strategic licensing agreement with OpenAI for Disney characters in Sora
  • Q3 FY26 EPS beat with parks segment revenue up 10% YoY to $9.97B
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