V
Visa Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 362.50
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 331.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 395.00
Thesis breakConfirmation of binding interchange caps in any of Visa's top three markets, a B...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 19% | 100 / 100 | 19.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: Visa announced acquisition of cybersecurity firm BioCatch for $2.4 billion
- Earnings performance: Recent quarterly results showed 14% net revenue growth and adjusted EPS of $3.32
- Analyst consensus: 31 analysts rate Buy with average price target $413.58 representing 14.15% upside