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Visa Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 366.13 Financial Services - Financial - Credit ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
54

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 366.13
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 321.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 385.00
Thesis breakA material adverse regulatory ruling on interchange fees in the US, UK or EU, or...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case19%100 / 10019.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • $1.5B acquisition in Argentina
  • Q3 2026 earnings beat with net revenue +14% to $11.6B and non-GAAP EPS $3.32 (11% YoY)
  • Value-added services revenue +33-34% YoY, now ~1/3 of total revenue
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