V
Visa Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 420.31
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 328.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 385.00
Thesis breakA binding interchange cap or structural ruling in the US, UK or EU that forces a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q3 FY26 earnings beat with EPS $3.32 vs $3.23 estimate and revenue $11.63B, plus raised full-year 2026 outlook
- RBC Capital maintains Outperform and raises price target to 466; consensus Strong Buy with average target 419.36
- Value-added services revenue +34% and global payments volume +10% to $4T