V
Visa Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 366.13
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 321.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 385.00
Thesis breakA material adverse regulatory ruling on interchange fees in the US, UK or EU, or...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 19% | 100 / 100 | 19.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- $1.5B acquisition in Argentina
- Q3 2026 earnings beat with net revenue +14% to $11.6B and non-GAAP EPS $3.32 (11% YoY)
- Value-added services revenue +33-34% YoY, now ~1/3 of total revenue