VSAT
Viasat Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 80.38
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 58.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 80.00
Thesis breakA material restatement or downward revision of revenue recognition estimates on ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 2027 EPS beat of $0.17 vs $0.10 estimate (+78.95%) with narrowed GAAP net loss
- Reaffirmed FY27 guidance supporting analyst reiterations and price target raises (Needham to $105, B. Riley to $106, Deutsche Bank to $97)
- ViaSat-3 GEO constellation deployment and Inmarsat acquisition driving global network expansion and recurring government/enterprise revenue