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VERA

Vera Therapeutics, Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 15 days old USD 32.89 REDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
54

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 32.89
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 22.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 30.00
Thesis breakA material clinical or regulatory setback for atacicept in IgAN, or a dilutive e...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case20%100 / 10020.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2026 EPS miss of $0.36 versus consensus
  • Projected EPS improvement from ($6.37) to ($3.94) next year
  • Analyst consensus 89% buy or strong buy ratings
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