USB
US Bancorp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 62.47
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 54.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 68.00
Thesis breakA material adverse regulatory enforcement action or consent order against USB, o...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 10% | 10 / 100 | 1.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 72 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Completed acquisition of BTIG effective June 1
- Q2 2026 EPS of $1.35 beat estimates by 6.30% with revenue up 10.1% to $7.7B
- Multiple analyst price target raises including JPM to $69 and Citi to $72 with Evercore upgrade to Outperform