USB
US Bancorp
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 63.01
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 54.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 66.00
Thesis breakA formal regulatory action such as a consent order or capital constraint imposed...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Completed acquisition of BTIG effective June 1 2026
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of 6.30% ($1.35 actual vs $1.27 est) with raised 2026 guidance
- Multiple analyst price target raises including JPM to $69 Citi to $72 and Evercore upgrade to Outperform