USB
US Bancorp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 60.47
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 51.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 63.00
Thesis breakA material adverse regulatory ruling against US Bancorp, or a clear miss against...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Completed acquisition of BTIG effective June 1 2026 expanding capital markets platform
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of $1.35 vs $1.27 estimate with revenue beat and raised full-year revenue guidance to $30.71B-$31.28B
- Quarterly dividend increased 3.8% to $0.54 per share