Coverage / UPS / Trade Card

UPS

United Parcel Service Inc

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 104.22 Industrials - Integrated Freight & LogisticsAWAIT ENTRY
65

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 104.22
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 93.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 112.00
Thesis breakUnited Parcel Service Inc withdrawing or materially lowering its raised $91.2 bi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction65 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 earnings beat with revenues of $22.83 billion and raised full-year revenue guidance to $91.2 billion
  • $48 million investment in 27 temperature-controlled facilities for healthcare logistics amid GLP-1 boom
  • Quarterly dividend announcement on May 6, 2026
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.