Coverage / UPS / Trade Card

UPS

United Parcel Service Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 110.38 Industrials - Integrated Freight & LogisticsREDUCE ZONE
BLOCKED - NOT ACTIONABLEMethodology gate: buy_preconditions_failed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 110.38
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 87.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 105.00
Thesis breakA material work stoppage involving the Teamsters-covered workforce, a fiscal 202...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Significant air cargo contract awarded by USPS
  • Raised consolidated earnings guidance for full year 2026
  • Launch of UPS Secure Commerce supply chain solutions suite
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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