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UPS

United Parcel Service Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 104.50 Industrials - Integrated Freight & LogisticsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 104.50
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 94.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 112.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multi-quarter decline in US domestic package revenue per piece, a mi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Moderate Buy consensus from 18 analysts with average 12-month price target of $116.88 representing 11.85% upside
  • UPS investment of $48 million in 27 temperature-controlled facilities for healthcare logistics growth
  • Execution of Customer First, People Led, Innovation Driven strategy targeting healthcare, B2B, SMBs and international segments
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.