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UNH

UnitedHealth Group Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 407.08 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare PlansAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 407.08
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 343.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 430.00
Thesis breakA confirmed material cut to Medicare Advantage benchmarks for the upcoming plan ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Quarterly earnings beat with profit outlook hike
  • Strong Buy consensus from 21 analysts and $477.37 average price target
  • Medicare Advantage political and regulatory risk from CMS risk score and Star rating tightening
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.