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UNH

UnitedHealth Group Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 414.40 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare PlansAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 414.40
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 336.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 430.00
Thesis breakA confirmed 2027 Medicare Advantage rate notice materially below industry expect...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 EPS beat of 31.55% ($6.38 actual vs $4.85 est)
  • Prior quarter earnings beats including Q1 2026 +10.21%
  • Analyst consensus overweight with average target 481.52
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.