UAL
United Airlines Holdings Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 110.60
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 91.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 118.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if United withdraws or materially cuts the high end of...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 10% | 10 / 100 | 1.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 72 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 results above expectations with raised full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance
- Multiple analyst price target increases including JP Morgan to $203 and Morgan Stanley to $190
- FY 2025 revenue of $59.1B and TTM revenue of $62.902B