Coverage / UAL / Trade Card

UAL

United Airlines Holdings Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 111.25 Industrials - Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
72

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 111.25
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 96.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 125.00
Thesis breakFY2026 EPS prints below the USD 7.00 floor of the guided range and management wi...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case10%10 / 1001.0
Weighted conviction72 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • 2026 EPS guidance of $12.00-$14.00 representing over 20% growth at midpoint
  • Record Q4 2025 revenue of $15.4B with premium cabin revenue up 12%
  • Full-year 2025 EPS of $10.62 as only major US airline to grow EPS year-over-year
Read full report →

Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

\n