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UAL

United Airlines Holdings Inc

BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 110.60 Industrials - Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
72

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 110.60
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 91.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 118.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if United withdraws or materially cuts the high end of...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case10%10 / 1001.0
Weighted conviction72 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 results above expectations with raised full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance
  • Multiple analyst price target increases including JP Morgan to $203 and Morgan Stanley to $190
  • FY 2025 revenue of $59.1B and TTM revenue of $62.902B
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