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PATH

UiPath Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 18.15 Technology - Software - InfrastructureREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 18.15
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 12.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 17.00
Thesis breakNet new ARR turns negative for two consecutive quarters, a material customer con...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Dubai cyber regulator clearance of Automation Cloud UAE enabling government and semi-government sales
  • One NZ telco deployment of UiPath Maestro cutting provisioning time from 10 days to under 10 minutes
  • Completion of $1 billion stock repurchase program and new $500 million authorization
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.