PATH
UiPath Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 13.10
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 12.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 16.00
Thesis breakA results announcement showing annual recurring revenue growth below 10%, dollar...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 32% | 100 / 100 | 32.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Acquisition of WorkFusion strengthening agentic solutions for financial services
- Q4 earnings beat of $0.30 vs $0.25 consensus with +20% surprise and revenue of $481M beating estimates by 3.5%
- Announcement of new $500 million stock repurchase authorization after completing $1 billion program