UBER
Uber Technologies Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 78.82
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 69.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 88.00
Thesis breakA material adverse reclassification of US drivers as employees through legislati...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 10% | 10 / 100 | 1.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 72 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 earnings with Gross Bookings +22% YoY constant currency, Non-GAAP Operating Income +40% YoY to $2.1B, and Non-GAAP EPS +35% YoY to $0.81
- Record GAAP Income from operations of $1.9B in Q2 2026 and trailing twelve-month free cash flow exceeding $10B
- Q1 2026 results showing Trips +20% YoY and Non-GAAP EPS +44% YoY