TRIB
Trinity Biotech PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 12.43
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 7.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 11.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis is invalidated by a disclosed dilutive equity raise priced...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- No OEM integrations, named supply agreements or government contracts evidenced
- Q1 2026 EPS beat of $2.40 but TTM EPS remains deeply negative at -60.31
- 1-for-30 reverse ADS split effective July 2026 to meet Nasdaq bid price rules