LON:TRCS
Tracsis Plc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
346.80p
Buy <=wait / entry
281.67p
Trim >=take some off
345.00p
Thesis breakA disclosed customer loss at Mistral or Vesputi, a goodwill impairment, or a rec...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 15% | 100 / 100 | 15.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 35% | 10 / 100 | 3.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Three-year agreement signed with major passenger rail operator for core TrainTRACS and TRACSRoster software products
- Completed acquisitions of Vesputi and Mistral Data with divestment of Events business to focus on software-led growth
- Mistral Data acquisition added high-margin recurring revenue, two new UK train operator customers and lifted group recurring revenue share to 70%