TMUS
T-Mobile Us Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 180.50
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 170.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 210.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated if T-Mobile reports a sustained decel...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 43% | 100 / 100 | 43.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 74 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity including acquisitions of UScellular Wireless Business, Vistar Media, Blis Holdco, and Ka'ena Corporation
- Raised 2026 adjusted free cash flow guidance to $18.4-18.8 billion
- Q2 2026 earnings beat with diluted EPS of $2.99 vs consensus $2.58 and service revenues up 9% YoY