TJX
TJX Companies Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 135.14
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 128.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 148.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of consolidated comparable sales growth below 1 per cen...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 10% | 10 / 100 | 1.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 72 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 FY27 earnings beat with diluted EPS of $1.19 (up 29% YoY) and comp sales growth of 6%, both above plan
- Increased full-year FY27 guidance for comp sales growth, pretax profit margin, EPS, and share buybacks
- 13% common stock dividend increase announced alongside $2.50 - $2.75B FY27 buyback authorization