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TJX

TJX Companies Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 135.98 Consumer Cyclical - Apparel - RetailAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
74

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 135.98
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 123.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 150.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of negative consolidated comparable sales growth combin...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case43%100 / 10043.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction74 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Joint venture agreement with Grupo Axo for Mexico market entry
  • Q4 FY26 consolidated comparable sales growth of 5% with net income of $1.8B and Q2 FY27 EPS beat of +1.22 vs +1.19 estimate
  • Announcement of 13% dividend increase and $2.50B share buyback authorization
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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