TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 699.44
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 576.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 690.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a material cut to 2026 or 2027 organic revenu...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 53% | 62 / 100 | 32.9 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A divestiture of microbiology business to Astorg for $1.075 billion
- Q2 2026 revenue +10% to $11.99B and adjusted EPS +13% to $6.03 with raised full-year guidance to $47.4-48.1B revenue and $24.93-25.33 adjusted EPS
- Launch of high-impact products including Orbitrap Astral Zoom mass spectrometer, Krios 5 Cryo-TEM, Vulcan Automated Lab, and 5L DynaDrive Bioreactor