Coverage / GS / Trade Card

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

BUY 2026-10-04 Data 5 days old USD 902.56 Financial Services - Financial - Capital MarketsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
72

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 902.56
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 833.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 980.00
Thesis breakQ3 2026 earnings on 13 October 2026 materially miss on revenues or ROE, a materi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case10%10 / 1001.0
Weighted conviction72 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Full year 2025 net earnings of $17.18 billion and EPS of $51.32 with ROE of 15.0%
  • Q4 2025 net earnings of $4.62 billion and EPS of $14.01 with annualized ROE of 16.0%
  • Q2 2026 EPS of $20.98 and annualized ROE of 23.5%
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.