TXN
Texas Instruments Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 312.48
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 250.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 310.00
Thesis breakA failure of the transaction to close on announced terms, industrial revenue dec...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Texas Instruments to acquire Silicon Labs for $231.00 per share
- Q4 2025 revenue of $4.42 billion and EPS of $1.27 with Q1 2026 guidance of $4.32-4.68 billion revenue
- $6.5 billion returned to shareholders over trailing 12 months alongside $4.6 billion capex