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TER

Teradyne Inc

BUY 2026-08-11 Data 12 days old USD 377.71 AWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
73

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 377.71
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 305.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 395.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multi-quarter decline in AI-exposed semiconductor test orders, a pub...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction73 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • US$139.9 million U.S. Air Force contract win
  • Majority ownership in MultiLane Test Products joint venture for AI data center high-speed test solutions
  • Q1 2026 record revenue of $1.282B (+87% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS $2.56, both above guidance
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