TER
Teradyne Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 377.71
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 305.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 395.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multi-quarter decline in AI-exposed semiconductor test orders, a pub...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 73 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- US$139.9 million U.S. Air Force contract win
- Majority ownership in MultiLane Test Products joint venture for AI data center high-speed test solutions
- Q1 2026 record revenue of $1.282B (+87% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS $2.56, both above guidance