TEM
Tempus AI Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 75.89
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 61.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 88.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a quarterly miss against the raised full-year...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic licensing deals including ~$200M in new Data and Applications licenses and extension of data license agreement with Recursion Pharmaceuticals plus new RNA foundation model license
- M&A activity with proposed $1.5B acquisition of Personalis (mostly stock)
- FDA clearance for ECG-MR AI product and FDA approval for xT Tumor Only migrating to ADLT pricing