SNPS
Synopsys Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 411.68
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 383.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 470.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated by a Q3 FY2026 print below the 3.630 EPS guidance floo...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 15% | 100 / 100 | 15.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 35% | 10 / 100 | 3.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Synopsys beat Q2 2026 estimates on every major metric and raised full-year revenue and non-GAAP EPS guidance
- Announced cooperation agreement with activist investor Elliott Management including board representation
- Reported 42% revenue growth in Q2 2026 attributed to AI chip design leadership