SYNA
Synaptics Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 117.98
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 87.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 121.00
Thesis breakA downward revision of the onsemi cash consideration below $123 per share, regul...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 20% | 10 / 100 | 2.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 63 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Revised onsemi all-cash acquisition agreement at $123 per share (~$5.7B)
- New AI-powered tactile sensing module launch integrated with NVIDIA platforms
- Q4 2026 EPS beat of $1.23 vs $1.04 estimate (18.27% surprise)