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STM

STMicroelectronics NV

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 56.10 Technology - SemiconductorsREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
37

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 56.10
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 37.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 52.00
Thesis breakA confirmed quarterly revenue or gross margin miss against the Q2 2026 $3.45 bil...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case2%100 / 1002.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case50%10 / 1005.0
Weighted conviction37 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • EPS beat of 19.23% and revenue beat of 0.707% on Jul 23 2026 release
  • Prior quarter EPS miss of -31.58% on Apr 23 2026
  • 31.6% stock price decline over the past month with further 35.3% drop noted in risk snippets
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.