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STM

STMicroelectronics NV

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 52.39 Technology - SemiconductorsREDUCE ZONE
37

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 52.39
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 38.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 52.00
Thesis breakA confirmed Q2 2026 revenue or gross margin miss versus the $3.45bn / 34.8% guid...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case2%100 / 1002.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case50%10 / 1005.0
Weighted conviction37 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • STM's Q1 guidance is weak with recovery likely gradual and volatile
  • Revenue projections show sequential shifts: 3.19B Sep 2025, 3.33B Dec 2025, 3.10B Mar 2026, 3.49B Jun 2026
  • Bullish Wall Street consensus with median price target of 72.00
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.