SMS
Star Minerals Ltd
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
AUD 0.04
Buy <=wait / entry
AUD 0.02
Trim >=take some off
AUD 0.04
Thesis breakLoss of the binding offtake arrangement with MEGA/Bain or Catalyst, a sustained ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- First mineralised material mined and ROM stockpiles established at 100%-owned Tumblegum South project
- Right to Mine agreement with MEGA Resources/Bain for funding/development and toll treatment via Catalyst Metals Plutonic mill
- Updated production target of 11.8 - 15.9koz gold with scoping cash surplus of A$9.4 - 19.6 million