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SBUX

Starbucks Corp

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 105.58 Consumer Cyclical - RestaurantsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
45

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 105.58
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 91.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 115.00
Thesis breakA return to negative US comparable sales growth, a cut to fiscal 2026 EPS guidan...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case9%100 / 1009.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case40%10 / 1004.0
Weighted conviction45 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • Raised FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $2.55-$2.65 from prior $2.25-$2.45
  • Fourth consecutive quarter of same-store sales growth with global and U.S. now projected near or above 6%
  • Consensus analyst Buy/Outperform rating with average price target of $112.23
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.