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SBUX

Starbucks Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 106.63 Consumer Cyclical - RestaurantsREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 106.63
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 84.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 104.00
Thesis breakA third consecutive quarter of negative US comparable sales, a cut to the raised...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Starbucks and Boyu Capital finalized China joint venture deal
  • Q3 FY2026 global comparable store sales +7.9% with raised full-year 2026 guidance
  • Four consecutive quarters of comp growth and two quarters of margin expansion reported
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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