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SPIR

Spire Global Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old USD 9.21 Industrials - Specialty Business Services
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
53

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 9.21
Buy <=wait / entry
-
Trim >=take some off
-
Thesis breaknot set
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case19%100 / 10019.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case32%10 / 1003.2
Weighted conviction53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • NOAA $3.7M contract award and selection as one of 14 suppliers under new 10-year commercial environmental-data framework
  • $61M in recent contract wins ($28M + $33M) supporting cash flow positive trajectory
  • Q2 FY26 revenue of $18.0M with 14% sequential growth and reaffirmed full-year 2026 revenue guidance
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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