SPIR
Spire Global Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 14.33
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 10.17
Trim >=take some off
USD 15.50
Thesis breakA denied or materially delayed FCC or non-US spectrum authorisation preventing c...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 24% | 100 / 100 | 24.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 27% | 10 / 100 | 2.7 |
| Weighted conviction | 57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 2026 EPS beat of 9.76% (actual -$0.37 vs est -$0.41)
- Strong Buy consensus from 4 analysts with average price target $18.75
- Next earnings expected Aug 12 2026 with projected EPS -$0.29