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SPIR

Spire Global Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 14.33 Industrials - Specialty Business ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
57

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 14.33
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 10.17
Trim >=take some off
USD 15.50
Thesis breakA denied or materially delayed FCC or non-US spectrum authorisation preventing c...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case24%100 / 10024.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case27%10 / 1002.7
Weighted conviction57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2026 EPS beat of 9.76% (actual -$0.37 vs est -$0.41)
  • Strong Buy consensus from 4 analysts with average price target $18.75
  • Next earnings expected Aug 12 2026 with projected EPS -$0.29
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