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SPCX

Space Exploration Technologies Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 133.11 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 133.11
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 118.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 165.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a material delay, cancellation or cost overru...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Space Exploration to acquire Cursor in $60B stock deal via 8-K filing
  • Unveils Terafab Chip Megaproject
  • Compute capacity agreement including approximately 110,000 NVIDIA GPUs
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