SPCX
Space Exploration Technologies Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 133.11
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 118.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 165.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a material delay, cancellation or cost overru...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Space Exploration to acquire Cursor in $60B stock deal via 8-K filing
- Unveils Terafab Chip Megaproject
- Compute capacity agreement including approximately 110,000 NVIDIA GPUs