SO
Southern Co
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 88.05
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 83.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 95.00
Thesis breakA formal reduction or material delay of the disclosed 3.2 GW OpenAI-related agre...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 43% | 100 / 100 | 43.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 74 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Georgia Power's 3.2-gigawatt, 25-year OpenAI supply agreement as part of 17+ GW contracted large-load demand
- Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.13 beating consensus estimate of $1.01 by $0.12 and prior-year $0.79
- Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS expected near or at top of $4.50 - $4.60 guidance range