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SOFI

SoFi Technologies Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-06 Updated today USD 18.19 AWAIT ENTRY
56

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 18.19
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 15.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 22.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of revenue growth below 20% year-on-year, a sustained r...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case23%100 / 10023.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case28%10 / 1002.8
Weighted conviction56 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 adjusted net revenue up 40% to record $1.2 billion
  • Raised 2026 adjusted net revenue guidance to $4.75-4.85 billion
  • EPS beat of $0.12 vs expected $0.11 for Q2 2026
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