SOFI
SoFi Technologies Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 18.19
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 15.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 22.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of revenue growth below 20% year-on-year, a sustained r...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 23% | 100 / 100 | 23.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 28% | 10 / 100 | 2.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 56 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 adjusted net revenue up 40% to record $1.2 billion
- Raised 2026 adjusted net revenue guidance to $4.75-4.85 billion
- EPS beat of $0.12 vs expected $0.11 for Q2 2026