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SQM

Sociedad Quimica y Minr de Chile SA

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-11 Data 12 days old USD 72.84 AWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 72.84
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 58.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 75.00
Thesis breakA formal adverse outcome on the Codelco partnership regulatory or indigenous con...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Codelco-SQM partnership agreement for lithium production in Salar de Atacama from 2025-2060
  • Q1 net income of $364.7 million reported
  • Stock rose 3.4% to $72.45 with GF Score of 88
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.