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SQM

Sociedad Quimica y Minr de Chile SA

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-10-04 Data 8 days old USD 64.52 Basic Materials - Chemicals - SpecialtyAWAIT ENTRY
BLOCKED - NOT ACTIONABLEMethodology gate: buy_preconditions_failed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 64.52
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 60.26
Trim >=take some off
USD 84.78
Thesis breakA formal re-scoping or indefinite delay of the Codelco JV such that the 280,000 ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Codelco-SQM joint venture for Salar de Atacama lithium production with SQM managing until 2030
  • Q2 FY26 earnings beat (EPS actual +2.31 vs estimate +2.04, revenue 2.47B)
  • Production targets of additional 300,000 tons LCE from 2025-2030 via JV efficiency gains
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.