SNOW
Snowflake Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 335.28
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 270.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 370.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by a combination of product revenue g...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 54% | 62 / 100 | 33.5 |
| Bear case | 13% | 10 / 100 | 1.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 68 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Snowflake and OpenAI $200 million multi-year partnership for co-innovation and joint GTM on AI models and agents
- Intent to acquire Observe for AI-powered observability and recent acquisition of Natoma
- Q1 FY2027 product revenue of $1.33 billion (34% YoY growth) with net revenue retention rate of 126%