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SW

Smurfit WestRock PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 48.28 Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & ContainersAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 48.28
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 40.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 50.00
Thesis breakA material downward revision to the synergy programme combined with sustained Ad...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 net income of $88 million versus prior-year loss of $26 million, with sales rising to $8,031 million
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $1,140 million and margin of 14.2%, down from $1,213 million and 15.3% in 2025
  • Multiple analyst Buy ratings with price targets ranging from $52 to $68 versus current price of 48.28
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.