SIVE
Sivers Semiconductors AB
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
SEK 14.30
Buy <=wait / entry
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Trim >=take some off
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Thesis breaknot set
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Significant orders from Tachyon Networks, ALL.SPACE, and SemiNex driving opportunity pipeline to $1.2 billion (up 268% from end-2025)
- LIDAR customer to ramp production with Sivers lasers and amplifiers in Q4 2026, potential cumulative revenues $28M-$53M over 2026-2030
- Multiple production ramps underway for 2026-2027 with strategic shift from NRE to product revenue