SIVE
Sivers Semiconductors AB
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
SEK 40.40
Buy <=wait / entry
SEK 28.00
Trim >=take some off
SEK 48.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by a sustained quarter-on-quarter dec...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Opportunity pipeline expanded 77% YTD to $799 million driven by wireless beamformers and InP lasers
- Multiple product ramps and strategic partnerships in automotive LiDAR, AI data center lasers, SATCOM, and fixed wireless access expected into 2027
- Directed share issue of approximately SEK 700 million at SEK 57 per share, multiple times oversubscribed by institutional investors