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SIVE

Sivers Semiconductors AB

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old SEK 40.40 Basic Materials - Industrial MaterialsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
SEK 40.40
Buy <=wait / entry
SEK 28.00
Trim >=take some off
SEK 48.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by a sustained quarter-on-quarter dec...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Opportunity pipeline expanded 77% YTD to $799 million driven by wireless beamformers and InP lasers
  • Multiple product ramps and strategic partnerships in automotive LiDAR, AI data center lasers, SATCOM, and fixed wireless access expected into 2027
  • Directed share issue of approximately SEK 700 million at SEK 57 per share, multiple times oversubscribed by institutional investors
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