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SLP

Simulations Plus Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of unknown Market data date unknown USD 18.50 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare Information ServicesREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 18.50
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 14.83
Trim >=take some off
USD 18.50
Thesis breakA buyer walk-away, a material adverse change invocation citing the disclosed cyb...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity: Altaris acquisition agreement at $18.50 per share all-cash buyout, unanimously approved by board, expected close Q4 2026
  • Earnings or guidance changes: Q3 FY26 EPS beat to $0.300 vs estimate $0.233 (29.03% surprise) and revenue beat to $21.886M vs $20.896M
  • Earnings or guidance changes: Q3 2026 revenue of $21.9M (up 7%) with 69% gross margin and preliminary FY2026 revenue guidance $79-82M
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