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SPG

Simon Property Group Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 229.37 Real Estate - REIT - RetailAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 229.37
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 194.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 238.00
Thesis breakA sustained drop in portfolio occupancy below the low-90s per cent range combine...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2026 revenue and EPS beat with raised full-year 2026 FFO guidance
  • Quarterly dividend increase announced with earnings
  • Record NOI and 17 million sq ft of leasing executed in FY2025
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.