Coverage / SPG / Trade Card

SPG

Simon Property Group Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 222.91 Real Estate - REIT - RetailAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 222.91
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 190.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 230.00
Thesis breakA material cut to full-year 2026 FFO guidance, a large anchor tenant bankruptcy ...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2026 EPS beat of $1.48 vs $1.46 expected with revenue up 19.3% YoY
  • Raised full-year 2026 FFO guidance to $13.10 - $13.25 per share
  • Quarterly dividend increased to $2.25 marking 7.1% YoY hike
Read full report →

Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.