LON:SRC
Sigmaroc PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
126.70p
Buy <=wait / entry
118.33p
Trim >=take some off
145.00p
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by a confirmed FY2026 guidance cut, D...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 10% | 10 / 100 | 1.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 72 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Major acquisition of Dolomitas Group in Lithuania for EUR 110m, adding 3.5m tons annual production and 45 years reserves, earnings enhancing from 2027
- Strong H1 2026 results with revenue +2.5% to GBP 523.1m, underlying EBITDA +11.3% to GBP 131.2m and margin +200bps to 25.1%
- Underlying EPS +12.2% to 5.23p; full-year 2026 consensus unchanged at revenue GBP 1,066m, EBITDA GBP 276m, EPS 11.5p