LON:SRC
Sigmaroc PLC
Position levels
Currenttoday
123.20p
Buy <=wait / entry
118.33p
Trim >=take some off
145.00p
Thesis breakA confirmed material adverse change at the ArcelorMittal joint venture, slippage...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic JV with ArcelorMittal adding efficient biofuel-ready lime capacity in Dunkirk
- New Belgian aggregates plant on track for commissioning in H1 2026
- H1 2025 underlying EBITDA of GBP 118m (+21% YoY) and EPS of 4.7p (>50% YoY) with full-year guidance unchanged