EPA:SESG
SES SA
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
EUR 4.57
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 3.93
Trim >=take some off
EUR 5.20
Thesis breakA material breakdown in the Intelsat integration, the loss of a named government...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- SES to acquire Intelsat in transaction focused on multi-orbit connectivity
- Major contract ramps in government, defense, and media segments driving stronger H2 2026
- H1 2026 revenue up 72% YoY with reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance