NOW
ServiceNow Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 100.66
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 103.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 150.00
Thesis breakA cut to fiscal 2026 subscription revenue guidance, a sustained deceleration in ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 15% | 100 / 100 | 15.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 35% | 10 / 100 | 3.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.04 and revenue beat with full-year subscription revenue guidance raised
- ServiceNow AI reaching $1 billion annual contract value
- 24.5% YoY subscription revenue growth to $3,877 million