NOW
ServiceNow Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 124.88
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 101.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 135.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multi-quarter deceleration in subscription net new ACV below mid-tee...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 15% | 100 / 100 | 15.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 35% | 10 / 100 | 3.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 50 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.90 vs $0.86 consensus and revenue beat of $3.99B vs $3.93B with 24% YoY growth
- Moderate Buy consensus from 42 analysts with average price target of $143.39 representing 14.79% upside
- AI-first enterprise platform leadership with 42% ITSM market share and over 80% Fortune 500 penetration