LON:SQZ
Serica Energy Plc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
257.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
193.33p
Trim >=take some off
280.00p
Thesis breakA permanent Energy Profit Levy extension or rate increase that materially impair...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity with Spirit Energy acquisition diversifying UK North Sea assets and boosting reserves
- Production guidance raised to significantly over 40,000 boepd for 2026 with Q2 averaging 50,000 bpd
- Transition from $200M net debt to $26M net cash position