S
SentinelOne Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 25.06
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 19.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 27.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of ARR growth below 15% year over year, a net retention...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 53% | 62 / 100 | 32.9 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Achieved full-year operating profitability and surpassed $1 billion revenue milestone in Q4 FY2026 with 22% YoY growth
- ARR growth of 22-23% year-over-year reported in Q3 and Q4 FY2026 earnings
- Named 2026 Google Cloud Partner of the Year for Security: Google Threat Intelligence