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SNDK

SanDisk Corp

BUY 2026-08-11 Data 12 days old USD 1265.72 AWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
77

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 1265.72
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 813.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 1400.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if Q4 FY26 Non-GAAP EPS prints materially below the $3...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case47%100 / 10047.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case5%10 / 1000.5
Weighted conviction77 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Multi-year NAND flash memory supply agreement with Meta Platforms
  • Three signed New Business Model agreements in fiscal Q3 plus two additional in Q4
  • Fiscal Q4 revenue $8.97 billion up 51% sequentially with GAAP net income $6.90 billion ($43.97 diluted EPS)
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.