SNDK
SanDisk Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 1719.99
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 1416.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 2050.00
Thesis breakA material adverse disclosure or renegotiation of the fiscal Q3 2026 minimum-rev...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 47% | 100 / 100 | 47.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 5% | 10 / 100 | 0.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q4 2026 EPS beat of 17.59% ($39.25 actual vs $33.38 est)
- Sequential EPS growth of +80.76% in Q2 '26 and +63.02% in Q3 '26
- Goldman Sachs raised price target to $2,200 from $1,200 citing NAND supply tightness and customer agreements