CRM
Salesforce Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 184.02
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 163.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 210.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of declining net new ACV disclosed in regulatory filing...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 32% | 100 / 100 | 32.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 2027 EPS beat of 31.08% ($3.88 actual vs $2.96 est)
- Consensus analyst price target of $256.97
- New logo growth deceleration disclosed in SEC risk factors