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RYAAY

Ryanair Holdings PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 57.88 Industrials - Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 57.88
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 51.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 62.00
Thesis breakA sustained Boeing 737 MAX delivery freeze that prevents net fleet growth across...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Partnership agreement signed with Booking Holdings
  • Strong Q1 profit after tax of EUR820 million reported
  • Completed share buyback retiring 86,499 ordinary shares and 50,210 ADS shares
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