RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 57.88
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 51.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 62.00
Thesis breakA sustained Boeing 737 MAX delivery freeze that prevents net fleet growth across...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 32% | 100 / 100 | 32.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Partnership agreement signed with Booking Holdings
- Strong Q1 profit after tax of EUR820 million reported
- Completed share buyback retiring 86,499 ordinary shares and 50,210 ADS shares