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ROK

Rockwell Automation Inc

BUY 2026-10-04 Data 8 days old USD 454.35 Industrials - Industrial - MachineryAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 454.35
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 396.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 470.00
Thesis breakA confirmed miss against the raised FY2026 guidance, a named loss of a key energ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Partnership with Aalo Atomics to provide control platform for advanced reactor development
  • Strategic partnership with Actemium to implement energy efficiency solutions in refrigeration
  • Q2 FY2026 reported sales +12% YoY (organic +9%), diluted EPS $3.10 (adjusted $3.30) beating estimates, with fiscal 2026 guidance raised to 5%-9% sales growth and $12.50-$13.10 adjusted EPS
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.