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LON:RKH

Rockhopper Exploration Plc

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old 74.30p Energy - Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
49

Position levels

Currenttoday
74.30p
Buy <=wait / entry
55.00p
Trim >=take some off
85.00p
Thesis breakA signed Sea Falcon farm-out with a credible operator on terms that fully fund a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case36%10 / 1003.6
Weighted conviction49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • Farm-out execution risk for Sea Falcon as single most important near-term catalyst
  • Absence of production revenue and history of operating losses with no operating cash flow
  • Analyst consensus 12-month price target of 89.975 versus current price near 74
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